The volatility spillover effect of the European Union (EU) carbon financial market

JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION

卷:282

Article

Zeng, Shihong¹  Jia, Jingmin¹  Su, Bin²  Jiang, Chunxia³  Zeng, Guowang⁴ 

[1] Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Econ & Management, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

[2] Natl Univ Singapore, Energy Studies Inst, Singapore 119620, Singapore

[3] Univ Aberdeen, Business Sch, Aberdeen AB24 3QY, Scotland

[4] LUISS Univ, Dept Business & Management, I-00197 Rome, Italy

关键词: Carbon financial market;    Volatility spillover effect;    VAR model;    BEKK-GARCH model;   

DOI  :  10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.124394

来源: Elsevier

【 摘 要 】

This paper modifies the BEKK-GARCH model based on the empirical results of the VAR model to analyze the dynamic volatility spillover effect between the European Union allowance (EUA) and certified emissions reduction (CER) markets during the second and third phases of the European Union Emission Trading System (EU ETS). The empirical results show that (1) an asymmetric volatility spillover effect exists between the EUA and CER markets and that the EUA market has a more significant volatility spillover effect on the CER market, and (2) the volatility spillover effect between the EUA and CER becomes weaker in phase III since the European Commission has limited the substitution of CER for EUA more strictly and the global carbon reduction requirements have become less demanding. Our study can help investors and managers of carbon market to have a more comprehensive understanding of the information and risk transmission mechanism between the EUA and CER markets, thus, providing them with a basis to make investment decisions and formulate policies. (C) 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

【 授权许可】

Free