Homogeneity testing for skewed and cross-correlated data in regional flood frequency analysis

JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

卷:556

Article

Lilienthal, J.¹  Fried, R.¹  Schumann, A.² 

[1] TU Dortmund Univ, Dept Stat, Vogelpothsweg 87, D-44221 Dortmund, Germany

[2] Ruhr Univ Bochum, Inst Hydrol Water Resources Management & Environm, Univ Str 150, D-44801 Bochum, Germany

关键词: Homogeneity test;    Regional flood frequency analysis;    TL-moments;    Copulas;   

DOI  :  10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.10.056

来源: Elsevier

【 摘 要 】

In regional flood frequency analysis the homogeneity of a group of stations is an essential assumption. A standard procedure in hydrology to evaluate this condition is the homogeneity measure of Hosking and Wallis, which applies L-moments. Disadvantages of it are the lack of power when analysing highly skewed data and the implicit assumption of spatial independence. To face these issues we generalize this procedure in two ways. Copulas are applied to model intersite dependence and trimmed L-moments as a more robust alternative to ordinary L-moments. The results of simulation studies are presented to discuss the influence of different copula models and different trimming parameters. The usage of asymmetrically trimmed L-moments improves the heterogeneity detection in skewed data. Simple copula models are sufficient to incorporate the dependence structure of the data in the procedure. Additionally, a more robust behaviour against extreme events at single stations is achieved with the use of trimmed L moments. Strong intersite dependence and skewed data reveal the need of a modified procedure in a case study with data from Saxony, Germany. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

【 授权许可】

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