A manifesto for the equifinality thesis

JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

卷:320

Article; Proceedings Paper

Beven, K

关键词: equifinality;    GLUE;    hydrological models;    observation error;    fuzzy measures;    uncertainty;   

DOI  :  10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.07.007

来源: Elsevier

【 摘 要 】

This essay discusses some of the issues involved in the identification and predictions of hydrological models given some calibration data. The reasons for the incompleteness of traditional calibration methods are discussed. The argument is made that the potential for multiple acceptable models as representations of hydrological and other environmental systems (the equifinality thesis) should be given more serious consideration than hitherto. It proposes some techniques for an extended GLUE methodology to make it more rigorous and outlines some of the research issues still to be resolved. (c) 2005 Elsevier Ltd All rights reserved.

【 授权许可】

Free