Impact of different levels of geographical disaggregation of wind and PV electricity generation in large energy system models: A case study for Austria

RENEWABLE ENERGY

卷:105

Article

Simoes, Sofia^1,6  Zeyringer, Marianne^2,3,4  Mayr, Dieter³  Huld, Thomas⁵  Nijs, Wouter¹  Schmidt, Johannes³ 

[1] European Commiss, Joint Res Ctr, Inst Energy & Transport, Westerduinweg 3, NL-1755 LE Petten, Netherlands

[2] UCL, UCL Energy Inst, London WC1H 0NN, England

[3] Univ Nat Resources & Life Sci, Inst Sustainable Econ Dev, Vienna, Austria

[4] Univ Utrecht, Fac Geosci, Copernicus Inst Sustainable Dev, NL-3508 TC Utrecht, Netherlands

[5] European Commiss, Joint Res Ctr, Inst Energy & Transport, Via E Fermi 2749, I-21027 Ispra, VA, Italy

[6] Univ Nova Lisboa, Fac Ciencias & Tecnol, Dept Ciencias & Engn Ambiente, CENSE Ctr Environm & Sustainabil Res, P-2829516 Caparica, Portugal

关键词: Photovoltaic energy;    Wind energy;    Optimization energy system model;    Spatially-explicit;   

DOI  :  10.1016/j.renene.2016.12.020

来源: Elsevier

【 摘 要 】

This paper assesses how different levels of geographical disaggregation of wind and photovoltaic energy resources could affect the outcomes of an energy system model by 2020 and 2050. Energy system models used for policy making typically have high technology detail but little spatial detail. However, the generation potential and integration costs of variable renewable energy sources and their time profile of production depend on geographic characteristics and infrastructure in place. For a case study for Austria we generate spatially highly resolved synthetic time series for potential production locations of wind power and PV. There are regional differences in the costs for wind turbines but not for PV. However, they are smaller than the cost reductions induced by technological learning from one modelled decade to the other. The wind availability shows significant regional differences where mainly the differences for summer days and winter nights are important. The solar availability for PV installations is more homogenous. We introduce these wind and PV data into the energy system model JRC-EU-TIMES with different levels of regional disaggregation. Results show that up to the point that the maximum potential is reached disaggregating wind regions significantly affects results causing lower electricity generation from wind and PV. (C) 2017 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.

【 授权许可】

Free