Bus accident severity and passenger injury: evidence from Denmark

European Transport Research Review

Original Paper

Sigal Kaplan¹  Carlo Giacomo Prato¹ 

[1] Department of Transport, Technical University of Denmark, Bygningstorvet 116B, 2800, Kgs. Lyngby, Denmark;

关键词: Bus safety;    Bus passenger safety;    Injury severity;    Generalized ordered logit;    Logistic regression;   

DOI  :  10.1007/s12544-013-0107-z

 received in 2012-07-30, accepted in 2013-05-29,  发布年份 2013

来源: Springer

【 摘 要 】

PurposeBus safety is a concern not only in developing countries, but also in the U.S. and Europe. In Denmark, disentangling risk factors that are positively or negatively related to bus accident severity and injury occurrence to bus passengers can contribute to promote safety as an essential principle of sustainable transit and advance the vision “every accident is one too many”.MethodsBus accident data were retrieved from the national accident database for the period 2002–2011. A generalized ordered logit model allows analyzing bus accident severity and a logistic regression enables examining occurrence of injury to bus passengers.ResultsBus accident severity is positively related to (i) the involvement of vulnerable road users, (ii) high speed limits, (iii) night hours, (iv) elderly drivers of the third party involved, and (v) bus drivers and other drivers crossing in yellow or red light. Occurrence of injury to bus passengers is positively related to (i) the involvement of heavy vehicles, (ii) crossing intersections in yellow or red light, (iii) open areas, (iv) high speed limits, and (v) slippery road surface.ConclusionsThe findings of the current study provide a comprehensive picture of the bus safety situation in Denmark and suggest the necessity of further research into bus drivers’ attitudes and perceptions of risks and road users’ perceptions of bus operations. Moreover, these findings suggest the need for further training into bus drivers’ hazard recognition skills and infrastructural solutions to forgive possible driving errors.

【 授权许可】

Unknown   
© The Author(s) 2013