A decision analytic model to investigate the cost-effectiveness of poisoning prevention practices in households with young children

BMC Public Health

Research Article

Mike Hayes¹  Felix Achana²  Nicola J. Cooper³  Alex J. Sutton³  Stephanie J. Hubbard³  David R. Jones³  Denise Kendrick⁴ 

[1] Child Accident Prevention Trust, SE16 4DG, London, UK;Clinical Trials Unit, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, CV4 7AL, Coventry, UK;Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, LE1 7RH, Leicester, UK;Division of Primary Care, University of Nottingham, NG7 2RD, Nottingham, UK;

关键词: Economic evaluation;    Public health;    Injury prevention;    Poisonings;    Children;    Decision models;   

DOI  :  10.1186/s12889-016-3334-0

 received in 2016-02-23, accepted in 2016-07-21,  发布年份 2016

来源: Springer

【 摘 要 】

BackgroundSystematic reviews and a network meta-analysis show home safety education with or without the provision of safety equipment is effective in promoting poison prevention behaviours in households with children. This paper compares the cost-effectiveness of home safety interventions to promote poison prevention practices.MethodsA probabilistic decision-analytic model simulates healthcare costs and benefits for a hypothetical cohort of under 5 year olds. The model compares the cost-effectiveness of home safety education, home safety inspections, provision of free or low cost safety equipment and fitting of equipment. Analyses are conducted from a UK National Health Service and Personal Social Services perspective and expressed in 2012 prices.ResultsEducation without safety inspection, provision or fitting of equipment was the most cost-effective strategy for promoting safe storage of medicines with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of £2888 (95 % credible interval (CrI) £1990–£5774) per poison case avoided or £41,330 (95%CrI £20,007–£91,534) per QALY gained compared with usual care. Compared to usual care, home safety interventions were not cost-effective in promoting safe storage of other household products.ConclusionEducation offers better value for money than more intensive but expensive strategies for preventing medicinal poisonings, but is only likely to be cost-effective at £30,000 per QALY gained for families in disadvantaged areas and for those with more than one child. There was considerable uncertainty in cost-effectiveness estimates due to paucity of evidence on model parameters. Policy makers should consider both costs and effectiveness of competing interventions to ensure efficient use of resources.

【 授权许可】

CC BY   
© The Author(s). 2016