Potential to attract drivers out of their cars in dense urban areas

European Transport Research Review

Original Paper

Andres Monzon¹  Maria Eugenia Lopez-Lambas¹  Luis Alfredo Vega² 

[1] TRANSYT - Transport Research Center, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Madrid, Spain;Universidad Pedagogica y Tecnologica de Colombia, Tunja, Colombia;

关键词: Sustainable mobility;    Walking;    Cycling;    Reducing car trips;   

DOI  :  10.1007/s12544-011-0054-5

 received in 2010-09-02, accepted in 2011-08-26,  发布年份 2011

来源: Springer

【 摘 要 】

PurposeSustainable mobility urban policies intend reducing car use and increasing walking, cycling and public transport. However, this transfer from private car to these more sustainable modes is only a real alternative where distances are small and the public transport supply competitive enough. This paper proposes a methodology to calculate the number of trips that can be transferred from private car to other modes in city centres.MethodThe method starts analyzing which kind of trips cannot change its mode (purposes, conditions, safety , etc.), and then setting a process to determine under which conditions trips made by car between given O-D pairs can be transferable. Then, the application of demand models allow to determine which trips fulfil the transferability conditions. The process test the possibility of transfer in a sequential way: firs to walking, then cycling and finally to public transport.ResultsThe methodology is tested through its application to the city of Madrid (Spain), with the result of only some 18% of the trips currently made by car could be made by other modes, under the same conditions of trip time, and without affecting their characteristics. Out of these trips, 75% could be made by public transport, 15% cycling and 10% on foot. The possible mode to be transferred depends on the location: city centre areas are more favourable for walking and cycling while city skirts could attract more PT trips.ConclusionsThe proposed method has demonstrated its validity to determine the potential of transferring trips out of cars to more sustainable modes. Al the same time it is clear that, even in areas with favourable conditions for walking, cycling and PT trips, the potential of transfer is limited because cars fulfil more properly special requirements of some trips and tours.

【 授权许可】

CC BY   
© The Author(s) 2011. This article is published under license to BioMed Central Ltd. Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits any use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author(s) and source are credited.