Vulnerability to climate change of managed stocks in the California Current large marine ecosystem

Frontiers in Marine Science

Marine Science

Peter Moyle¹  Mark Carr²  Ellen Willis-Norton²  Sabrina Beyer³  Mark W. Nelson⁴  Elliott L. Hazen⁵  Steven J. Bograd⁶  Michael G. Jacox⁷  Sean E. Matson⁸  Lisa G. Crozier⁹  Owen S. Hamel⁹  Aaron M. Berger⁹  Chris E. Jordan⁹  John Pohl⁹  Chantel Wetzel⁹  Kelly S. Andrews⁹  John Wallace⁹  Vladlena Gertseva⁹  Chris J. Harvey⁹  Isaac C. Kaplan⁹  Jason M. Cope⁹  Melissa A. Haltuch⁹  Correigh M. Greene⁹  Richard G. Gustafson⁹  Jameal F. Samhouri⁹  Nick Tolimieri⁹  David D. Huff⁹  Michelle M. McClure^1,10  Colin Nicol^1,11  Ryan R. Rykaczewski^1,12  Lewis A.K. Barnett^1,13  Emmanis Dorval^1,14  Heidi Dewar^1,14  Nathan J. Mantua^1,15  David Boughton^1,15  Edward Dick^1,15  Steven T. Lindley^1,15  Susan Sogard^1,15  Melissa H. Monk^1,15  Joe Bizzarro^1,16  Mark J. Henderson^1,17  Jason Dunham^1,18 

[1] Center for Watershed Sciences, University of California, Davis, CA, United States;Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, United States;Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, United States;Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Marine Fisheries Service (NOAA NMFS), Santa Cruz, CA, United States;ECS Federal, Inc., under contract for National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Marine Fisheries Service (NOAA NMFS) Office of Science and Technology, Silver Spring, MD, United States;Environmental Research Division, Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Marine Fisheries Service (NOAA NMFS), Monterey, CA, United States;Environmental Research Division, Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Marine Fisheries Service (NOAA NMFS), Monterey, CA, United States;Institute of Marine Science, University of California (UC), Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, United States;Environmental Research Division, Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Marine Fisheries Service (NOAA NMFS), Monterey, CA, United States;Physical Sciences Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (NOAA OAR), Boulder, CO, United States;National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Marine Fisheries Service (NOAA NMFS) West Coast Region, Seattle, WA, United States;Northwest Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Marine Fisheries Service (NOAA NMFS), Seattle, WA, United States;Northwest Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Marine Fisheries Service (NOAA NMFS), Seattle, WA, United States;National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, Seattle, WA, United States;Ocean Associates, under contract to the Northwest Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Seattle, WA, United States;PACE Engineering, Seattle, WA, United States;Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Honolulu, HI, United States;School of Aquatic & Fishery Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States;Visiting Scientist at Northwest Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Marine Fisheries Service (NOAA NMFS), Seattle, WA, United States;Alaska Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Marine Fisheries Service (NOAA NMFS), Seattle, WA, United States;Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Marine Fisheries Service (NOAA NMFS), La Jolla, CA, United States;Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Marine Fisheries Service (NOAA NMFS), Santa Cruz, CA, United States;Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Marine Fisheries Service (NOAA NMFS), Santa Cruz, CA, United States;Institute of Marine Science, University of California (UC), Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, United States;U.S. Geological Survey, California Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, Department of Fisheries Biology, California State Polytechnic University Humboldt, Arcata, CA, United States;U.S. Geological Survey, Vermont Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT, United States;U.S. Geological Survey, Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center, Corvallis, OR, United States;

关键词: climate vulnerability assessment;    marine fishes;    fisheries management;    climate change;    exposure;    sensitivity;    trait-based vulnerability;    California Current;   

DOI  :  10.3389/fmars.2023.1103767

 received in 2022-11-20, accepted in 2023-01-17,  发布年份 2023

来源: Frontiers

【 摘 要 】

IntroductionUnderstanding how abundance, productivity and distribution of individual species may respond to climate change is a critical first step towards anticipating alterations in marine ecosystem structure and function, as well as developing strategies to adapt to the full range of potential changes.MethodsThis study applies the NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) Fisheries Climate Vulnerability Assessment method to 64 federally-managed species in the California Current Large Marine Ecosystem to assess their vulnerability to climate change, where vulnerability is a function of a species’ exposure to environmental change and its biological sensitivity to a set of environmental conditions, which includes components of its resiliency and adaptive capacity to respond to these new conditions.ResultsOverall, two-thirds of the species were judged to have Moderate or greater vulnerability to climate change, and only one species was anticipated to have a positive response. Species classified as Highly or Very Highly vulnerable share one or more characteristics including: 1) having complex life histories that utilize a wide range of freshwater and marine habitats; 2) having habitat specialization, particularly for areas that are likely to experience increased hypoxia; 3) having long lifespans and low population growth rates; and/or 4) being of high commercial value combined with impacts from non-climate stressors such as anthropogenic habitat degradation. Species with Low or Moderate vulnerability are either habitat generalists, occupy deep-water habitats or are highly mobile and likely to shift their ranges.DiscussionAs climate-related changes intensify, this work provides key information for both scientists and managers as they address the long-term sustainability of fisheries in the region. This information can inform near-term advice for prioritizing species-level data collection and research on climate impacts, help managers to determine when and where a precautionary approach might be warranted, in harvest or other management decisions, and help identify habitats or life history stages that might be especially effective to protect or restore.

【 授权许可】

Unknown   
Copyright © 2023 McClure, Haltuch, Willis-Norton, Huff, Hazen, Crozier, Jacox, Nelson, Andrews, Barnett, Berger, Beyer, Bizzarro, Boughton, Cope, Carr, Dewar, Dick, Dorval, Dunham, Gertseva, Greene, Gustafson, Hamel, Harvey, Henderson, Jordan, Kaplan, Lindley, Mantua, Matson, Monk, Moyle, Nicol, Pohl, Rykaczewski, Samhouri, Sogard, Tolimieri, Wallace, Wetzel and Bograd