A financial time series data mining method with different time granularity based on trend Division

International Journal of Computers Communications & Control

article

Haining Yang¹  Xuedong Gao¹  Lei Han¹  Wei Cui² 

[1] University of Science and Technology Beijing;China University of Geosciences Beijing

关键词: Time series;    Trend division;    Time granularity;    Arima;    Support vector machine.;   

DOI  :  10.15837/ijccc.2022.6.4952

学科分类：自动化工程

来源: Universitatea Agora

【 摘 要 】

Stock research is an important field of Finance and time series research. Stock data research is also a typical financial time series problem. In the research of financial time series, there are many methods, such as model building, data mining, heuristic algorithm, machine learning, deep learning, and so on. VAR, ARIMA and other methods are widely used in practice. ARIMA and its combination methods have good processing effect on small data sets, but there are over fitting problems, which are difficult to process large data sets and data with different time granularity. At present, this paper takes the decision table transformation method of financial time series data as the research object, and puts forward the trend division method of financial time series based on different time granularity through the trend division of financial time series. On this basis, it puts forward the trend extreme point extraction method, and constructs the stock time series decision table according to the extreme point information and combined with the stock technical indicators, The decision table is verified by support vector machine based on the decision table. The research shows that the trend division method under different time granularity can transform the extreme point information into a decision table, which will not produce over fitting problem in practical application. It is an effective time series processing method, and provides a new research method for the future time series research with different granularity.

【 授权许可】

CC BY-NC