Deterministic and Fractional-Order Co-Infection Model of Omicron and Delta Variants of Asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 Carriers

Fractal and Fractional

article

Waqas Ali Faridi¹  Muhammad Imran Asjad¹  Shabir Ahmad²  Adrian Iftene³  Magda Abd El-Rahman⁴  Mohammed Sallah⁶ 

[1] Department of Mathematics, University of Management and Technology;Department of Mathematics, University of Malakand;Faculty of Computer Science, Alexandru Ioan Cuza, University of Iasi;Department of Physics, College of Science, King Khalid University;Department of Radiation Physics, National Center of Radiation Research and Technology;Applied Mathematical Physics Research Group, Physics Department, Faculty of Science, Mansoura University;Higher Institute of Engineering and Technology

关键词: Delta variant;    Omicron variant;    stability;    fractional derivative;    fixed-point theory;   

DOI  :  10.3390/fractalfract7020192

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: mdpi

【 摘 要 】

The Delta and Omicron variants’ system was used in this research study to replicate the complex process of the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak. The generalised fractional system was designed and rigorously analysed in order to gain a comprehensive understanding of the transmission dynamics of both variants. The proposed dynamical system has heredity and memory effects, which greatly improved our ability to perceive the disease propagation dynamics. The non-singular Atangana–Baleanu fractional operator was used to forecast the current pandemic in order to meet this challenge. The Picard recursions approach can be used to ensure that the designed fractional system has at least one solution occupying the growth condition and memory function regardless of the initial conditions. The Hyers–Ulam–Rassias stability criteria were used to carry out the stability analysis of the fractional governing system of equations, and the fixed-point theory ensured the uniqueness of the solution. Additionally, the model exhibited global asymptotically stable behaviour in some conditions. The approximate behaviour of the fatal virus was investigated using an efficient and reliable fractional numerical Adams–Bashforth approach. The outcome demonstrated that there will be a significant decline in the population of those infected with the Omicron and Delta SARS-CoV-2 variants if the vaccination rate is increased (in both the symptomatic and symptomatic stages).

【 授权许可】

CC BY