The relationship between changes in the korean fertility rate and policies to encourage fertility

BMC Public Health

Research

Jihyun Jang¹  Kyuhyoung Jeong²  Jiyeon Yoon³  Sunghee Kim⁴  Heeran J. Cho⁵ 

[1] Pusan National University, Busan, South Korea;Semyung University, Jecheon, South Korea;Seogang University, Seoul, South Korea;Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea;Yuhan University, Bucheon, South Korea;

关键词: Korean fertility rate;    Fertility rate;    Decline of fertility rate;    Fertility policy;    Latent growth model;   

DOI  :  10.1186/s12889-022-14722-4

 received in 2022-05-25, accepted in 2022-11-24,  发布年份 2022

来源: Springer

【 摘 要 】

BackgroundKorean government has established various policies to counter the low fertility rate since the mid-2000s, but it still has the lowest fertility rate among OECD member countries. This study investigated the relationship between changes in the Korean fertility rate and policies to encourage fertility.MethodsThis study utilized data of the total fertility rate of 250 local governments between 2014 and 2018, and a casebook of local government birth promotion policies. The dependent variable was fertility rate, and the independent variable was fertility promotion policy. Using SPSS 25.0 and M-plus 8.0 programs, descriptive statistical analysis and latent growth modeling were conducted. An unconditional quadratic function change model was selected as a final model of this study.ResultsThe average of the initial fertility rate and the linear rate of change in the Korean fertility rate, and the rate of change of the quadratic function were all statistically significant, meaning that the fertility rate of decline increases over time. Also, the linear rate of change and the quadratic function change rate were significant, showing significant differences in the initial level and rate of change of the fertility rate between local governments. Among fertility policies, only the in-kind policy had a significant effect on the initial value of the fertility rate, meaning that the higher the number of in-kind policies, the higher the fertility rate.ConclusionThis study is crucial as it examined the changes in the fertility rate of Korean local governments as well as the policy factors affecting the fertility rate at a quantitative level.

【 授权许可】

CC BY   
© The Author(s) 2022

【 图 表 】

Fig. 1