Covid-19 in the Northeast of Brazil: from lockdown to the relaxation of social distancing measures

Ciencia e Saude Coletiva

article

Ximenes, Ricardo Arraes de Alencar¹  Albuquerque, Maria de Fatima Pessoa Militão de²  Martelli, Celina Maria Turchi²  Araújo, Thália Velho Barreto de¹  Miranda Filho, Demócrito de Barros³  Souza, Wayner Vieira de²  Ichihara, Maria Yury Travassos⁴  Lira, Pedro Israel Cabral de¹  Kerr, Ligia Regina Franco Sansigolo⁵  Aquino, Estela ML⁶  Silva, Antônio Augusto Moura da⁷  Almeida, Rosa Lívia Freitas de⁸  Kendall, Carl⁵  Pescarini, Julia M⁴  Brandão Filho, Sinval Pinto²  Almeida-Filho, Naomar⁶  Oliveira, Juliane Fonseca de⁴  Teles, Carlos⁴  Jorge, Daniel Cardoso Pereira⁶  Santana, Guilherme⁴  Gabrielli, Ligia⁶  Rodrigues, Moreno MS⁹  Silva, Natanael Jesus da⁴  Souza, Rafael Felipe da Silva⁴  Silva, Vivian Alessandra Ferreira da⁴  Barreto, Maurício Lima⁴ 

[1] Universidade Federal de Pernambuco;Fiocruz;Universidade de Pernambuco;Fiocruz Bahia;Universidade Federal do Ceará;Universidade Federal da Bahia;Universidade Federal do Maranhão;Universidade de Fortaleza;Fiocruz Rondônia

关键词: Covid-19;    Social Distancing;    Coronavirus;    Northeast Brazil;    Epidemic;   

DOI  :  10.1590/1413-81232021264.39422020

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: Associacao Brasileira de Pos - Graduacao em Saude Coletiva

【 摘 要 】

Even in the period when the Covid-19 pandemic was on the rise in the Northeast of Brazil, the relaxation of social distancing measures was introduced. The scope of the study is to assess, in the light of the epidemiological-sanitary situation in the region, the suitability of relaxation of social distancing measures. Based on the WHO guidelines for relaxation of social distancing, operational indicators were created and analyzed for each guideline in the context of the Northeast. To analyze the behavior of the epidemic, according to selected indicators, Joinpoint trend analysis techniques, heat maps, rate ratios and time trends between capitals and the state interior were compared. The weekly growth peak of the epidemic occurred in May-July 2020 (epidemiological weeks 19 to 31). In most capitals, there was no simultaneous downward trend in the number of cases and deaths in the 14 days prior to flexibilization. In all states the number of tests performed was insufficient. In epidemiological week 24, the state percentages of ICU/Covid-19 bed occupancy were close to or above 70%. The epidemiological situation of the nine Northeastern state capitals analyzed here did not meet criteria and parameters recommended by the World Health Organization for the relaxation of social distancing measures.

【 授权许可】

CC BY