Trends in the Prevalence of Hypertensive Heart Disease in China From 1990 to 2019: A Joinpoint and Age–Period–Cohort Analysis

Frontiers in Public Health

article

Dan Xu¹  Jingcen Hu²  Shuyu Wang²  Lian Chen³ 

[1] Department of Geriatrics, Yuyao People's Hospital;Department of Epidemiology, Zhejiang Provincial Key Laboratory of Pathophysiology, School of Medicine, Ningbo University;Department of Cardiology, Yuyao People's Hospital

关键词: prevalence;    hypertensive heart disease;    joinpoint regression analysis;    age-period-cohort effect;    trends;   

DOI  :  10.3389/fpubh.2022.833345

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: Frontiers

【 摘 要 】

To the best of our knowledge, no comprehensive estimates of the descriptive epidemiology of and trends in hypertensive heart disease (HHD) in China have been reported. In this study, the temporal trends in the prevalence of HHD in China from 1990 to 2019 were estimated using an age–period–cohort model. Data related to HHD burden were collected from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. From 1990 to 2019, HHD prevalence in China showed decreasing trends in both sexes combined (average annual percentage change [AAPC]: −0.2%, 95% confidence interval (CI: −0.3% to −0.2%) and in males (AAPC: −0.5%, 95% CI: −0.5% to −0.4%), but significant increases in the age groups of 15–19, 20–24, …, and 60–64 years. The age effect analysis showed an increase in HHD prevalence from 50 to 94 years in both males and females, the period effect analysis showed a slight increase in HHD prevalence from 2009 to 2019 in females, and the cohort effect analysis showed a consistent decline in HHD prevalence from earlier to later birth cohorts in both males and females.

【 授权许可】

CC BY