Identification of contributing factors to pedestrian overpass selection

Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering (English ed. Online)

Lei Wu¹  Yao Wu²  Jian Lu²  Hong Chen³ 

[1] CCCC First Highway Consultants Co., Ltd, Xi’an, Shaanxi, China;Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center of Modem Urban Traffic Technologies, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China;School of Highway, Chang’an University, Xi’an, Shaanxi, China;

关键词: traffic engineering;    overpass;    binary logit;    utility function;    selective preference;   

DOI  :  10.1016/S2095-7564(15)30291-9

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

In order to improve the efficiency of overpass and the safety level of pedestrian, this paper aims to investigate the contributing factors for selective preference of overpass. Eight overpasses were investigated in Xi’an, and a questionnaire was conducted by the pedestrians near the overpass. Totally, 1131 valid samples (873 used of overpasses and 258 non-used of overpasses) were collected. Based on the data, a binary logit (BL) model was developed to identify what and how the factors affect the selective preference of overpass. The BL model was calibrated by the maximum likelihood method. Likelihood ratio test and McFadden-R2 were used to analyze the goodness-of-fit of the model. The results show that the BL model has a reasonable goodness-of-fit, and the prediction accuracy of the BL model can reach 81.9%. The BL model showed that the selective preference of overpass was significantly influenced by eight factors, including gender, age, career, education level, license, detour wishes, detour distance, and crossing time. Besides, the odds ratios of significant factors were also analyzed to explain the impacts of the factors on selective preference of overpass.

【 授权许可】

Unknown