Energy Scenario Analysis for the Nordic Transport Sector: A Critical Review

Energies

Stefan Petrović¹  Raffaele Salvucci¹  Kenneth Karlsson¹  Olexandr Balyk¹  Markus Wråke²  TanuPriya Uteng³ 

[1] DTU Management, Technical University of Denmark, Produktionstorvet, Building 424, 2800 Kgs. Lyngby, Denmark;Energiforsk AB, Swedish Energy Research Centre, Olof Palmes gata 31, 101 53 Stockholm, Sweden;Institute of Transport Economics, Norwegian Centre for Transport Research (TØI), Gaustadalléen 21, 0349 Oslo, Norway;

关键词: alternative fuels;    decarbonization;    energy system modelling;    low-carbon transition;    NETP 2016;    sustainable mobility;    transport behavior;   

DOI  :  10.3390/en12122232

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

Experiencing the highest growth in emissions since 1990 and relying mainly on oil, transport is considered the most complicated sector to decarbonize. Lately, the Nordic countries have shown remarkable success in reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, especially in the power and heat sector. However, when it comes to transportation, the greatest source of Nordic GHG emissions, stronger measures are needed. Relying on a rich and diversified portfolio of renewable sources and expertise, the Nordic countries could benefit from a common mitigation strategy by encompassing a larger variety of solutions and potential synergies. This article reviews studies addressing integrated energy and transport scenario analysis for the Nordic region as a whole. The studies targeted are those applying energy system models, given their extensive adoption in supporting scenario analysis. Most notable of these studies is the “Nordic Energy Technology Perspectives 2016” to which a special focus is dedicated. The article reviews the methodological choices and the research content of the selected literature. Challenges/limitations are identified in light of recent transport research, and categorized as: “transport behavior”, “breakthrough technologies”, “domestic energy resources” and “geographical aggregation and system boundaries”. Lastly, a list of suggestions to tackle the identified gaps is provided based on the existing literature.

【 授权许可】

Unknown