Climate change in Lebanon:Higher-order regional impacts from agriculture

REGION

Flavio V. Vieira¹  Eduardo A. Haddad²  Nadim Farajalla³  Ricardo L. Lopes⁴  Marina Camargo⁴ 

[1] Deparment of Economics, Federal University of UberlandiaThe University of Sao Paulo Regional and Urban Economics Laboratory – NEREUS;Deparment of Economics, University of São PauloThe University of Sao Paulo Regional and Urban Economics Laboratory – NEREUS;Issam Fares Institute for Public Policy and International Affairs, American University of Beirut;The University of Sao Paulo Regional and Urban Economics Laboratory – NEREUS;

关键词: Climate change;    Economic Impacts;    Agriculture;    Integrated Modeling;    Interregional CGE analysis;   

DOI  :  

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

In this paper, we analyze the susceptibility of agricultural outputs to future climate change in Lebanon, and the extent to which it propagates to the economic system as a whole. We use a methodological framework in which physical and economic models are integrated for assessing the higher-order economic impacts of projected climate changes. By using this integrated modeling approach, we are able to quantify the broader economic impacts in the country by considering not only the temporal dimension but also the regional disaggregation of the results. Our estimates suggest that there are high potential costs and risks associated with a burden to the poorer and more vulnerable regions of the country.

【 授权许可】

Unknown