Modelling carbon mitigation pathways by 2050: Insights from the Global Calculator

Energy Strategy Reviews

Jeremy Woods¹  Vanessa Pérez-Cirera²  Rajiv Chaturvedi³  Julien Pestiaux⁴  Alejandra Elizondo⁵  Alexandre Strapasson⁵  Michel Cornet⁶  Diego Cruz-Cano⁷ 

[1] Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, United States;Corresponding author. Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London, United Kingdom.;CLIMACT, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium;CONACYT, Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas (CIDE), Mexico City, Mexico;Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London, United Kingdom;College of Engineering, University of Texas at El Paso (UTEP), TX, United States;WWF-International, Mexico City, Mexico;

关键词: Climate policy;    Energy modelling;    Environmental change;    System dynamics;    Global calculator;   

DOI  :  

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

The Global Calculator (GC) can be used to assess a wide range of climate change mitigation pathways. The GC is an accessible integrated model which calculates the cumulative emissions of a basket of the main greenhouse gases that result from a set of technological and lifestyle choices made at the global level and as defined by the user within a single system dynamics tool. Using the GC, we simulated ambitious scenarios against business as usual trends in order to stay below 2 °C and 1.5 °C of maximum temperature change by the end of this century and carried out a sensitivity analysis of the entire GC model option space. We show that the calculator is useful for making broad simulations for energy, carbon and land use dynamics, and demonstrate how combined and sustained mitigation efforts across different sectors are urgently needed to meet climate targets.

【 授权许可】

Unknown