Streamflow Changes of Small and Large Rivers in the Aldan River Basin, Eastern Siberia

Water

Liudmila Lebedeva¹  David Gustafsson² 

[1] Melnikov Permafrost Institute Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 677010 Yakutsk, Russia;Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, SE-601 76 Norrkoping, Sweden;

关键词: river streamflow change;    Eastern Siberia;    trend analysis;    permafrost hydrology;    Aldan river;    climate change;   

DOI  :  10.3390/w13192747

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

The flow of large northern rivers has increased, but regional patterns of changes are not well understood. The aim of this study is the estimation of monthly discharge changes of the 11 river catchments in the Aldan River basin in Eastern Siberia, the largest Lena River tributary and the sixth largest river in Russia. We considered the trend dependence on month, number of years in the sample, finish and start years, and basin area. The median fraction of samples with no trend, positive and negative trends are 70.5%, 28.5%, and 1%, respectively. Longer samples tend to show more positive trends than shorter ones. There is an increasing fraction of samples with positive trends as a function of later sample end year, whereas the start year does not result in a similar pattern. The larger basins, with one exception, have more positive trends than smaller ones. The trends in monthly streamflow have prominent seasonality with absence of positive trends in June and increasing fraction of samples with positive trends from October till April. The study reports the recent streamflow changes on the rarely analyzed rivers in Eastern Siberia, where air temperature rises faster than in average on the globe. The study results are important for water resources management in the region and better understanding of current environmental changes.

【 授权许可】

Unknown