Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and households

International Journal of Infectious Diseases

Lei Zhang¹  Yanni Xiao²  Mingwang Shen³  Zhihang Peng⁴  Yuming Guo⁵  Libin Rong⁶  Yan Li⁷  Guihua Zhuang⁸ 

[1] Corresponding authors.;Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Science, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY 10029, USA;China-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi’an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi’an, Shaanxi, 710061, PR China;Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, 210029, PR China;Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004, Australia;Department of Mathematics, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611, USA;Department of Population Health Science and Policy, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY 10029, USA;School of Mathematics and Statistics, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi, 710049, PR China;

关键词: COVID-19;    Metropolitan-wide quarantine;    Public space;    Households;   

DOI  :  

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

Hubei province in China has completed cycle of quarantine-resumption in 23rd Janauary and 8th April 2020, providing a unique opportunity as for now to assess its intervention impact and the pattern of SARS-COV-2 transmission during the quarantine period. In this study, we evaluate the impact of the metropolitan-wide quarantine on the trend and transmission route of the COVID-19 epidemic in Hubei, China. The intervention reduces more than 70% of new infections in both households and the public space, as well as the deaths caused by COVID-19 pneumonia. Household transmission is the dominant route of disease spread regardless of quarantine. This will provide important evidence and scientific insights to other worldwide countries that are currently under quarantine.

【 授权许可】

Unknown