Longevity Risk Management and the Development of a Value-Based Longevity Index

Risks

Yang Chang¹  Michael Sherris¹ 

[1] School of Risk and Actuarial Studies and CEPAR, UNSW Business School, Sydney 2052, Australia;

关键词: retirement income risk;    cohort mortality;    value index;    mortality risk;    interest rate risk;    hedge efficiency;   

DOI  :  10.3390/risks6010010

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

The design and development of post-retirement income products require the assessment of longevity risk, as well as a basis for hedging these risks. Most indices for longevity risk are age-period based. We develop and assess a cohort-based value index for life insurers and pension funds to manage longevity risk. There are two innovations in the development of this index. Firstly, the underlying variables of most existing longevity indices are based on mortality experience only. The value index is based on the present value of future cash flow obligations, capturing all the risks in retirement income products. We use the index to manage both longevity risk and interest rate risk. Secondly, we capture historical dependencies between ages and cohorts with a cohort-based stochastic mortality model. We achieve this by introducing age-dependent model parameters. With our mortality model, we obtain realistic cohort correlation structures and improve the fitting performance, particularly for very old ages.

【 授权许可】

Unknown