Logical and probabilistic modeling of power supply systems reliability in intelligent control systems

Tehnologìčnij Audit ta Rezervi Virobnictva

Ігор Анатолійович Котов¹ 

[1]National University of Krivoy RogStr. 22th Party Congress, 11, Krivoy Rog, Ukraine, 50027

关键词: probability;    model;    reliability;    equipment failure;    production;    control;    electricity;   

DOI  :  10.15587/2312-8372.2013.19581

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

The article is devoted to the method of database construction for power system operations control at crisis situations based on equipment reliability. Some results of suggested approach are shown with specific example illustration. The main research object is developing the method of representing progressing chain of equipment failure in terms of production networks in database. Such representing of reliability characteristics of power supply system objects allows unifying intelligent database and, consequently, unifying inference of machine operation. The opportunity of applying theoretical base of probabilistic calculus and probability estimate of reliability parameters for making equipment failures graph is under consideration in the article. Represented method allows forecasting accidents in power systems and setting decision support systems for loss minimizing. Offered method can be applied at power systems of different complexity and voltage classes. Research results can be used in operations control of power supply modes in emergency conditions and other technical areas but also for making decision support system at crisis situations.

【 授权许可】

Unknown