Modeling the transmission dynamics of middle eastern respiratory syndrome coronavirus with the impact of media coverage

Results in Physics

Gul Zaman¹  Manar A. Alqudah²  BiBi Fatima³  Fahd Jarad³  Thabet Abdeljawad⁴ 

[1] Corresponding authors.;Department of Mathematical Sciences, Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, P.O. Box 84428, Riyadh 11671,Saudi Arabia;Department of Mathematics, University of Malakand, Chakdara Dir Lower Khyber Pakhtunkhawa, Pakistan;Department of Mathematics, Çankaya University, Etimesgut, Ankara, Turkey;

关键词: SIHRS model;    Media coverage;    Backward bifurcation;    Stability analysis;   

DOI  :  

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus has been persistent in the Middle East region since 2012. In this paper, we propose a deterministic mathematical model to investigate the effect of media coverage on the transmission and control of Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome coronavirus disease. In order to do this we develop model formulation. Basic reproduction number R0 will be calculated from the model to assess the transmissibility of the (MERS-CoV). We discuss the existence of backward bifurcation for some range of parameters. We also show stability of the model to figure out the stability condition and impact of media coverage. We show a special case of the model for which the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. Finally all the theoretical results will be verified with the help of numerical simulation for easy understanding.

【 授权许可】

Unknown