Ukraine‘s deterrence failure: Lessons for the Baltic States

Journal on Baltic Security

Takacs David¹ 

[1] Associate Fellow at Slovak Security Policy Institute, Na vŕšku 8, 811 01Bratislava, Slovak Republic;

关键词: deterrence;    russia;    baltic states;    ukraine;    crimea;    hybrid warfare;   

DOI  :  10.1515/jobs-2017-0001

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

The annexation of Crimea in 2014 was a clear sign that Moscow is looking to extend its sphere of influence and it forced the Baltic States to take a very close look at their deterrent capabilities. The article introduces the basic concepts of deterrence and discusses the differences between the deterrent capabilities of Ukraine and the Baltic States. Furthermore, the threats that Russia presents, the factors that were responsible for Ukraine’s deterrence failure and the challenges that the Baltic States are facing are analysed. The article concludes that while the Baltic States are significantly better prepared for possible Russian aggression, their deterrent capabilities must continuously evolve to reflect the changes in the nature of modern warfare.

【 授权许可】

Unknown