Indonesian Export Analysis: Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model Approach

Journal of Economics, Business & Accountancy

Abd. Jamal¹  Taufiq C. Dawood¹  Syarifah Labibah¹ 

[1] Universitas Syiah Kuala, Banda Aceh, Indonesia;

关键词: export;    inflation;    exchange rates;    economic growth;    ardl;   

DOI  :  10.14414/jebav.v23i3.1668

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

There are some factors predicted tohave an effect on the countries’ economic devlopment. This study aimed to analyze the long-term and short-term effects of In-flation, Exchange Rate, and Foreign Economic Growth (the destination of the United States, China, and Japan) on the Indonesian Export. The Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model is used in this analysis from 1968 through 2017. The results of the analysis show that in the long-term, the inflation and the economic growth in China as well in Japan has a positive sign and significant effect on Indonesian exports. In addition, in the short-term, the US exchange rate and economic growth have a positive significant effect on Indonesian exports.

【 授权许可】

Unknown