Epidemiological Characteristics and Spatiotemporal Trend Analysis of Human Brucellosis in China, 1950–2018

International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health

Ying Wang¹  Kewei Li²  Wei Zhao²  Jing Hu³  Chenhao Zhao³  Qing Zhen³  Xiangyi Zhang³  Siwen Zhang³  Jingjing Luo³  Huixin Yang³  Biao Li³  Fangfang Hu³  Chenyu Han³  Taijun Wang³ 

[1] Jilin Province First Institute of Endemic Disease Control, Brucellosis Research Laboratory, Changchun 130000, China;Jilin Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Microbiological laboratory, Changchun 130000, China;Jilin University School of Public Health, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Key Laboratory of Zoonosis Research, Ministry of Education, Changchun 130000, China;

关键词: brucellosis;    humans;    epidemiology;    zoonoses;    China;    GDP;   

DOI  :  10.3390/ijerph17072382

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

The rate of brucellosis, a zoonotic disease, has rapidly increased in humans brucellosis(HB) in recent years. In 1950–2018, a total of 684,380 HB cases (median 2274/year (interquartile range (IQR) 966–8325)) were reported to the National Infectious Disease Surveillance System in mainland China. The incidence of HB peaked in 2014 (4.32/100,000), and then showed a downward trend; we predict that it will maintain a steady downward trend in 2019–2020. Since 2015, the incidence of HB has shown opposite trends in the north and south of China; rates in the north have fallen and rates in the south have increased. In 2004–2018, the most significant increases in incidence of HB were in Yunnan (IQR 0.002–0.463/100,000), Hubei (IQR 0.000–0.338/100,000), and Guangdong (IQR 0.015–0.350/100,000). The areas where HB occurs have little overlap with areas with high per capita GDP in China. The “high–high” clusters of HB are located in northeastern China (Inner Mongolia, Heilongjiang, Jilin, Liaoning, Ningxia, Shanxi, and Gansu), and the “low–low” clusters of HB are located in southern China (Yunnan, Jiangxi, Shanghai, Guangxi, Guangdong, Zhejiang, Guizhou, and Hunan). In recent years, the incidence of HB in China has been controlled to some extent, but the incidence of HB has increased in southern China, and the disease has spread geographically in China from north to south. Further research is needed to address this change and to continue to explore the relationship between the incidence of HB and relevant factors.

【 授权许可】

Unknown