Modeling Patterns of Land Use in Chinese Cities Using an Integrated Cellular Automata Model

ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information

Yanlei Feng¹  Yi Qi² 

[1] Department of Geography, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA;School of Architecture and Urban Planning, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, Jiangsu, China;

关键词: urban growth modeling;    multicriteria simulation;    cellular automata;    China;   

DOI  :  10.3390/ijgi7100403

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

This paper introduces an urban growth simulation model applied to the full scope of China. The model uses a multicriteria decision analysis to calculate the land conversion probability and then integrates it with a cellular automata model. A nonlinear relationship is incorporated in to the model to interpret the impacts of different Land Use and Cover Change driving forces. The Analytical Hierarchical Process is also implemented to compute the variance between weights of different factors. Multiple sizes of neighborhood and different urban ratios in the model rules are tested, and a 5 × 5 neighborhood and an urban threshold of 0.33 are chosen. The study demonstrates the importance of spatial analysis on socioeconomic factors, population, and Gross Domestic Product in land use change simulation modeling. The model fills the gap between the purely economic theory simulation model and the geographic simulation model. The nationwide urban simulation is an example that addresses the lack of urban simulation studies in China and among large-scale simulation models.

【 授权许可】

Unknown