Forecasting Quantitative Risk Indicators of Investors in Projects of Biohydrogen Production from Agricultural Raw Materials

Processes

Dmytro Sorokin¹  Inna Tryhuba²  Anatoliy Tryhuba²  Dariusz Kwasniewski³  Sylwester Tabor³  Taras Hutsol⁴  Serhii Yermakov⁴  Szymon Glowacki⁵ 

[1] Department of Electrical Engineering, Electromechanics and Electrotechnology, National University of Life and Environmental Science of Ukraine, 03041 Kyiv, Ukraine;Department of Information Systems and Technologies, Lviv National Agrarian University, 80381 Dublyany, Ukraine;Department of Production Engineering, Logistics and Applied Computer Science, Faculty of Production and Power Engineering, University of Agriculture in Krakow, 30-149 Krakow, Poland;Institute of Energy, State Agrarian and Engineering University in Podilya, 32300 Kamianets-Podilskyi, Ukraine;Institute of Mechanical Engineering, Warsaw University of Life Sciences, 02-776 Warsaw, Poland;

关键词: biohydrogen;    hydrogen;    decarbonization;    market value;   

DOI  :  10.3390/pr9020258

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

Hydrogen is increasingly considered as an environmentally friendly energy source as it stores a large amount of chemical energy per unit mass (142 MJ·kg⁻¹) that can be released without the emission of combustion by-products. The presented research is based on simulation modeling of biohydrogen production projects from agricultural waste. Based on the probability theory and mathematical statistics, the models of the variable market value of biohydrogen and natural gas are substantiated. The results of the research indicate that in 2019, projects regarding the production of biohydrogen from agricultural raw materials were mostly unprofitable for the investors. However, starting in 2030, the forecasted return on investment in biohydrogen production projects from agricultural raw materials indicates that such projects will be profitable for investors, and the number and scale of such projects will significantly increase worldwide.

【 授权许可】

Unknown