The demise of the INF Treaty: a path dependence analysis

Revista Brasileira de Política Internacional

卷:64

关键词: Arms control;    INF Treaty;    nuclear age;    path dependence;    strategic stability;   

DOI  :  10.1590/0034-7329202100202

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

Abstract This article explains changes in strategic stability through a path dependence framework, discussing its antecedent conditions, increasing returns, cleavages, critical junctures, reactive sequences, and legacy. We identify the leading causes of its formation, reproduction, modification, and, eventually, its end. Such an analysis is relevant as far as we observe significant changes in cornerstone’s aspects of strategic stability after the abrogation of the ABM Treaty and the INF Treaty. We argue that strategic stability as an institution passes through radical modifications produced by reactive sequences breaking the causal loop that allowed its reproduction since its formation.

【 授权许可】

Unknown