Causal Models for Risk Management

Revista Cubana de Ciencias Informáticas

卷:7

Maikel Yelandy Leyva¹  Betsy Cuza García²  Neysis Hernández Díaz² 

[1] Departamento Soluciones SOA.Centro de Consultoría y Desarrollo de Arquitecturas Empresariales.Universidad delas Ciencias Informáticas, Carretera a San Antonio de los Baños, km 2 ½, Torrens, Boyeros, La Haba na Cuba. CP.:19370;

[2] Departamento de Ciencias Básicas. Facultad 6.Universidad de las Ciencias Informáticas, Carretera a San Antoniode los Baños, km 2 ½, Torrens, Boyeros, La Habana Cuba. CP.: 19370;

关键词: Fuzzy cognitive maps;    projects;    quantitative analysis;    risk;    risk management;   

DOI  :  

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

In thisworka study about the process of risk management in major schools in the world.The project management toolsworldwidehighlightstheneedtoredefineriskmanagementprocesses.Fromtheinformationobtaineditis proposed the use of causal models for risk analysis based on information from the project or company, say risks and the influence thereof on the costs, human capital and project requirements and detect the damages of a number of taskswithouttributetothedevelopmentoftheproject.Astudyontheuseofcausalmodelsasknowledge representation techniques causal, among which are the Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (DCM) and Bayesian networks, with themostfavorableMCDtechniquetousebecauseitallowsmodelingtheriskinformationwitho uthavinga knowledge base either itemize.

【 授权许可】

Unknown