A Unified Theory of Human Judgements and Decision-Making under Uncertainty

Entropy

卷:22

Raffaele Pisano¹  Sandro Sozzo² 

[1] Institute of Electronics, Microelectronics and Nanotechnology (IEMN), Lille University, Avenue Poincaré CS 60069, 59652 Villeneuve d’Ascq CEDEX, France;

[2] School of Business and Centre for Quantum Social and Cognitive Science (IQSCS), University of Leicester, University Road, Leicester LE1 7RH, UK;

关键词: quantum structures;    concept theory;    decision theory;    cognitive fallacies;    disjunction effect;    Ellsberg paradox;   

DOI  :  10.3390/e22070738

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

Growing empirical evidence reveals that traditional set-theoretic structures cannot in general be applied to cognitive phenomena. This has raised several problems, as illustrated, for example, by probability judgement errors and decision-making (DM) errors. We propose here a unified theoretical perspective which applies the mathematical formalism of quantum theory in Hilbert space to cognitive domains. In this perspective, judgements and decisions are described as intrinsically non-deterministic processes which involve a contextual interaction between a conceptual entity and the cognitive context surrounding it. When a given phenomenon is considered, the quantum-theoretic framework identifies entities, states, contexts, properties and outcome statistics, and applies the mathematical formalism of quantum theory to model the considered phenomenon. We explain how the quantum-theoretic framework works in a variety of judgement and decision situations where systematic and significant deviations from classicality occur.

【 授权许可】

Unknown