Flood forecasting in Blue Nile basin using a process-based hydrological model

International Journal of Environment

卷:3

Osama R Abdel-Aziz¹ 

[1] Department of Hydraulic and Irrigation Structures, Faculty of engineering, Alexandria University, Alexandria;

关键词: Blue Nile Basin;    Distributed Hydrological Model;    flood forecast;    CCSM3;    Miroc3.2;   

DOI  :  10.3126/ije.v3i1.9938

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

Predictions of variations in global and regional hydrological cycles and their response to changes in climate and the environment are key problems for future human life. Therefore, basin-scale hydrological forecasts, along with predictions regarding future climate change, are needed in areas with high flood potential. This study forecasts hydrological process scenarios in Blue Nile basin using a distributed hydrological model (DHM) and predicted scenarios of precipitation from two general circulation models, CCSM3 model and Miroc3.2-hires. Firstly, river discharge was simulated by the DHM using the observed rainfall from 1976 to 1979 and then, simulating future precipitations from 2011 to 2040, discharge scenarios were predicted.

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3126/ije.v3i1.9938

International Journal of Environment Vol.3(1) 2014: 10-21

【 授权许可】

Unknown