Long-Range Socio-Economic Forecasting of World Development in the Works by IMEMO RAS

Prostranstvennaâ Èkonomika

Suslov D. V.¹ 

[1] Economic Research Institute FEB RAS;

关键词: Forecast;    socio-economic development;    world economy;    international relations;    countries;    globalization;   

DOI  :  10.14530/se.2011.4.093-107

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

A brief overview is given of papers by the Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences (IMEMO RAS) on long-term socio-economic forecasting of global development. The forecasting methodology is shown, its capabilities and limitations, as well as the structure, main results and characteristics of the forecasts made by IMEMO RAS since early 2000s. The «Strategic Global Outlook for 2030» has acquired features of an interdisciplinary research, and has been developed based on a system analysis of objective socio-economic indicators, long-term global and regional socio-demographic trends, and expert assessment of the future dynamics of the political situation in individual countries and in intergovernmental relations. This methodology allowed the focus to be placed primarily on the stable trends of development in the world economy and the system of international relations, their actors, structures and institutions

【 授权许可】

Unknown