FCTC ratification, smoking prevalence, and GDP per capita: lessons for Indonesia and the rest of the world

Globalization and Health

Ardhini Risfa Jacinda¹  Nadira Amalia²  Abdillah Ahsan³  Rifai Afin⁴  Martha Hindriyani⁵  Elisabeth Kramer⁶ 

[1] Center for Islamic Economics and Business, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, Depok, Indonesia;Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administration, University of Malaya, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia;Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, 16424, Depok, West Java, Indonesia;Department of Economics, University of Trunojoyo Madura, Banegkalan, Indonesia;Faculty of Economics and Business, Gadjah Mada University, Yogyakarta, Indonesia;Sydney Southeast Asia Centre, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia;

关键词: Framework convention on tobacco control (FCTC);    Indonesia;    GDP per capita;   

DOI  :  10.1186/s12992-022-00810-y

来源: Springer

【 摘 要 】

BackgroundIndonesia’s stagnated progress towards tobacco control could be addressed through the implementation of a comprehensive national framework, such as the World Health Organization’s (WHO) Framework Convention of Tobacco Control (FCTC). However, national tobacco industry supporters argue that accepting the FCTC will have negative economic implications for the country. These arguments have, thus far, discouraged the Indonesian government from ratifying the FCTC. Drawing from an analysis of the impact of the FCTC on other countries’ smoking rates and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita, this study offers empirical evidence against industry arguments concerning the potential negative economic impacts of FCTC adoption. This study applies a two stage least square estimation strategy to unbalanced panel data at country level. In the first stage we estimate the impact of FCTC ratification on smoking rates, and in the second step, we estimate the influence of smoking activity on macroeconomic performance.ResultsThe result of this study shows that FCTC ratification has a negative impact on a country’s smoking prevalence. While FCTC ratification positively correlates with reduced smoking prevalence, a decline in smoking prevalence is not related to a decline in GDP per capita.ConclusionsThe results of this study shows that FCTC ratification, which can be an important driver for more effective tobacco control, does not necessarily have a negative impact on the economy. Instead, FCTC ratification may be beneficial for both health and economic outcomes, as it provides comprehensive guidance for reducing smoking prevalence that take into account social and economic factors.

【 授权许可】

CC BY