A New Diagnostic Model to Distinguish Kawasaki Disease From Other Febrile Illnesses in Chongqing: A Retrospective Study on 10,367 Patients

Frontiers in Pediatrics

article

Zhilin Huang¹  Xu-Hai Tan²  Haolin Wang³  Bo Pan¹  Tie-Wei Lv¹  Jie Tian¹ 

[1] Department of Heart, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders, National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders, China International Science and Technology Cooperation Base of Child Development and Critical Disorders, Chongqing Key Laboratory of Pediatrics, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University;Department of Pediatric, People's Hospital of Hongan;College of Medical Informatics, Chongqing Medical University

关键词: kawasaki disease;    children;    febrile illnesses;    diagnostic model;    independent predictors;   

DOI  :  10.3389/fped.2020.533759

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: Frontiers

【 摘 要 】

Objective: Kawasaki disease (KD) is one of the most prevailing vasculitis among infants and young children, and has become the leading cause of acquired heart disease in childhood. Delayed diagnosis of KD can lead to serious cardiovascular complications. We sought to create a diagnostic model to help distinguish children with KD from children with other febrile illnesses [febrile controls (FCs)] to allow prompt treatment. Methods: Significant independent predictors were identified by applying multivariate logistic regression analyses. A new diagnostic model was constructed and compared with that from diagnostic tests created by other scholars. Results: Data from 10,367 patients were collected. Twelve independent predictors were determined: a lower percentage of monocytes (%MON), phosphorus, uric acid (UA), percentage of lymphocyte (%LYM), prealbumin, serum chloride, lactic dehydrogenase (LDH), aspartate aminotransferase: alanine transaminase (AST: ALT) ratio, higher level of globulin, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT), platelet count (PLT), and younger age. The AUC, sensitivity, and specificity of the new model for cross-validation of the KD diagnosis was 0.906 ± 0.006, 86.0 ± 0.9%, and 80.5 ± 1.5%, respectively. An equation was presented to assess the risk of KD, which was further validated using KD ( n = 5,642) and incomplete KD ( n = 809) cohorts. Conclusions: Children with KD could be distinguished effectively from children with other febrile illnesses by documenting the age and measuring the level of %MON, phosphorus, UA, globulin, %LYM, prealbumin, GGT, AST:ALT ratio, serum chloride, LDH, and PLT. This new diagnostic model could be employed for the accurate diagnosis of KD.

【 授权许可】

CC BY