Causal Relationship Between the Spread of the COVID-19 and Geopolitical Risks in Emerging Economies

Frontiers in Public Health

article

Liangjun Wang¹  Chunding Li²  Xiaohua Chen³  Lili Zhu⁴ 

[1] School of Economics, Zhejiang University of Technology;College of Economics and Management, China Agricultural University;School of Economics and Management, Zhejiang Sci-Tech University;School of Business, Shenandoah University, United States

关键词: COVID-19 pandemic;    measuring the spread of the COVID-19;    geopolitical risks;    emerging economies;    panel granger non-causality tests;   

DOI  :  10.3389/fpubh.2020.626055

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: Frontiers

【 摘 要 】

This study investigates the causality between the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic (measured by new cases per million and new deaths per million) and geopolitical risks (measured by the index of geopolitical risks). We use the balanced panel data framework in 18 emerging economies from January 2020 to August 2020. We run the initial tests of cross-sectional dependence and the panel unit root tests with capturing cross-sectional dependence. Then, we utilize the panel Granger non-causality tests for heterogeneous stationary panel datasets. According to the findings, there is a significant causality from both measures of spreading the COVID-19 pandemic to geopolitical risks. Further tests are performed, and potential implications are also discussed.

【 授权许可】

CC BY