Resolution of Summertime East Asian Pressure Pattern and Southerly Monsoon Wind in CMIP5 Multi-model Future Projections

ournal of the Meteorological Society of Japan

article

Tomoaki OSE¹  Yuhei TAKAYA¹  Shuhei MAEDA¹  Toshiyuki NAKAEGAWA¹ 

[1] Meteorological Research Institute

关键词: global warming;    East Asia;    precipitation;    CMIP5;    pressure;    summer monsoon;   

DOI  :  10.2151/jmsj.2020-047

来源: Meteorological Society of Japan

【 摘 要 】

The southerly surface wind index over the summertime East Asia (SWI) is strengthened in the future in the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). However, the differences among the models are much larger than the ensemble average. The empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis is applied to the future changes in the East Asian surface pressure pattern responsible for the SWI. The ensemble average and five EOF modes for the pressure patterns and the associated precipitation changes are identified, and their possible sources are examined.

【 授权许可】

Unknown