Trends and variability in pan evaporation and other climatic variables at Ibadan, Nigeria, 1973–2008

Meteorological applications

article

Philip G. Oguntunde¹  Babatunde J. Abiodun²  Olawale J. Olukunle¹  Ayorinde A. Olufayo¹ 

[1] Department of Agricultural Engineering, The Federal University of Technology;Department of Environmental and Geographical Science, University of Cape Town

关键词: climate change;    evaporation trends;    complementary relationship;    global dimming;   

DOI  :  10.1002/met.281

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: Wiley

【 摘 要 】

Understanding changes in evaporation rates is expected to be of great importance for water resource planning and management. This paper examines pan evaporation data as an example of the detection and attribution of trends in climate variables. Records of pan evaporation ( E pan ), rainfall ( R ), radiation ( S R ), wind speed ( W S ), temperature ( T a ) and humidity ( R H ) for the period 1973–2008 were collected from the International Institute of Tropical Agriculture (IITA) in Ibadan, Nigeria. Mann–Kendall trend and Sen's slope tests were performed on the respective meteorological variables and a variability index (VI) was also computed for these. The results showed that annually E pan , S R and W S significantly decrease ( P < 0.001) while R , T a , and R H showed insignificant increasing trends in the last four decades. E pan and S R decrease at the rate of 8.3 mm year −2 and 37.8 MJ m −2 year −1 , respectively. Similar to E pan , S R decreased significantly in all the months ( P < 0.01) and the reduction ranged from 5.1% per decade in March to 9.3% per decade in August. The result of VI showed that the decrease in E pan and other explanatory variables is rather recent. Regression between E pan and other variables indicates that about 30, 15 and 6% of its variance can be explained by S R , W S and VPD (vapour pressure deficit), respectively. The possible roles of dust-haze known as ‘harmattan’ winds and monsoon clouds in attenuating S R and hence reducing E pan are discussed.

【 授权许可】

CC BY|CC BY-NC|CC BY-NC-ND