Application of a Bayesian inflation approach to EnSRF radar data assimilation to improve the analysis and forecasting of an MCS

Meteorological applications

article

Shibo Gao¹  Jinzhong Min²  Limin Liu¹  Chuanyou Ren¹ 

[1] Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Agronomy College, Shenyang Agricultural University;School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology

关键词: Bayesian inflation algorithm;    ensemble square root filter (EnSRF);    mesoscale convective system (MCS);    multiplicative inflation algorithm;    radar data assimilation;   

DOI  :  10.1002/met.1801

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: Wiley

【 摘 要 】

In accordance with national building regulations, human safety and health should not be compromised in any way by the structures. Noncompliance with existing standards can increase the risk of fire in buildings. This study aimed to assess the impact of national building regulations on the reduction of the fire risk level in an industrial structure. In this study, the fire risk level of the building and contents, occupants, and activities were calculated in a power plant control room using Fire Risk Assessment Method for Engineering (FRAME). In the following, by assessing the existing situation, the effect of the implementation of national building regulations was determined on the reduction of fire risk level. The result showed that the fire risk level for occupants (20.64), building and content (1.02) that are above the acceptable level and corrective measures and design changes should be applied to reduce the risk level. Also, in case of application of the third chapter of Iranian National Building Regulations in power plant construction, the fire risk level will be reduced by 11.7% compared to the existing situation This study showed that the implementation of national building standards and regulation can provide the occupants life safety by correctly predicting escape routes. Fire Risk Assessment Method for Engineering (FRAME) is a very effective tool for selecting the best control strategies for fire safety of industrial structures.

【 授权许可】

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