Adjusting catastrophe model ensembles using importance sampling, with application to damage estimation for varying levels of hurricane activity

Meteorological applications

article

Stephen Jewson¹  Clair Barnes¹  Stephen Cusack¹  Enrica Bellone¹ 

[1] Risk Management Solutions Ltd

关键词: catastrophe model;    hurricane activity;    hurricane damage;    importance weighting;    insurance;    natural catastrophe;    natural disaster;   

DOI  :  10.1002/met.1839

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: Wiley

【 摘 要 】

Accidents are among the most important problems of both the developed and the developing countries. Individual factors and personality traits are the primary causes of human errors and contribute to accidents. The present study aims to investigate the relationship between the components of the five-factor model of personality and the occurrence of occupational accidents in industrial workers. The independent T-test indicated that there is a meaningful relationship between the personality traits and accident proneness. In the two groups of industry workers injured in occupational accidents and industry workers without any occupational accidents, there is a significant relationship between personality traits, neuroticism (p=0.001), openness to experience (p=0.001), extraversion (p=0.024) and conscientiousness (p=0.021). Nonetheless, concerning the personality trait of agreeableness (p = 0.09), the group of workers with accidents did not differ significantly from the workers without any accidents. The results showed that there is a direct and significant relationship between accident proneness and the personality traits of neuroticism and openness to experience. Furthermore, there is a meaningful but inverse correlation between accident proneness and the personality traits of extraversion and conscientiousness, while there was no relationship between accident proneness and the personality trait of agreeableness.

【 授权许可】

CC BY|CC BY-NC|CC BY-NC-ND