Climate impacts on the ocean are making the Sustainable Development Goals a moving target travelling away from us

People and Nature

article

Gerald G. Singh¹  Nathalie Hilmi²  Joey R. Bernhardt¹  Andres M. Cisneros Montemayor¹  Madeline Cashion¹  Yoshitaka Ota³  Sevil Acar⁴  Jason M. Brown⁵  Richard Cottrell⁶  Salpie Djoundourian⁸  Pedro C. González-Espinosa¹  Vicky Lam¹  Nadine Marshall^1,10  Barbara Neumann^1,12  Nicolas Pascal^1,13  Gabriel Reygondeau¹  Joacim Rocklӧv^1,14  Alain Safa^1,15  Laura R. Virto^1,16  William Cheung¹ 

[1] Institute for the Oceans and Fisheries, University of British Columbia;Centre Scientifique de Monaco;School of Marine and Environmental Affairs, University of Washington;Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Boğaziçi University;Faculty of Environment, Simon Fraser University;Centre for Marine Socioecology, University of Tasmania;Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania;Adnan Kassar School of Business, Department of Economics, Lebanese American University;Geography Department, The University of British Columbia;College of Science & Engineering, James Cook University;Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization;Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies (IASS);Centre de Recherches Insulaires et Observatoire de l'Environnement (CRIOBE);Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Unit of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Umeå University;Skill Partners;Management Research Centre, Ecole Polytechnique & European Institute on Marine Studies, University of West Brittany

关键词: climate change;    expert elicitation;    marine ecosystem services;    ocean sustainability;    Sustainable Development Goals;   

DOI  :  10.1002/pan3.26

学科分类：护理学

来源: Wiley

【 摘 要 】

Climate change is impacting marine ecosystems and their goods and services in diverse ways, which can directly hinder our ability to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), set out under the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. Through expert elicitation and a literature review, we find that most climate change effects have a wide variety of negative consequences across marine ecosystem services, though most studies have highlighted impacts from warming and consequences of marine species. Climate change is expected to negatively influence marine ecosystem services through global stressors—such as ocean warming and acidification—but also by amplifying local and regional stressors such as freshwater runoff and pollution load. Experts indicated that all SDGs would be overwhelmingly negatively affected by these climate impacts on marine ecosystem services, with eliminating hunger being among the most directly negatively affected SDG. Despite these challenges, the SDGs aiming to transform our consumption and production practices and develop clean energy systems are found to be least affected by marine climate impacts. These findings represent a strategic point of entry for countries to achieve sustainable development, given that these two goals are relatively robust to climate impacts and that they are important pre-requisite for other SDGs. Our results suggest that climate change impacts on marine ecosystems are set to make the SDGs a moving target travelling away from us. Effective and urgent action towards sustainable development, including mitigating and adapting to climate impacts on marine systems are important to achieve the SDGs, but the longer this action stalls the more distant these goals will become. A free Plain Language Summary can be found within the Supporting Information of this article.

【 授权许可】

CC BY