Statistical Modeling of Hunting Success Using Hunter Surveys

Austrian Journal of Statistics

article

Jose Carlos Martinez Avila¹  Peter Filzmoser¹  Neyko M. Neykov² 

[1] Vienna University of Technology;Bulgarian Academy of Sciences

关键词: Model Selection;    Poisson Model;    Hunting Success;    StatisticalModeling;    Sustainable Management.;   

DOI  :  10.17713/ajs.v42i2.158

学科分类：医学（综合）

来源: Austrian Statistical Society

【 摘 要 】

Different methods are available to estimate the wildlife population development. In this paper a method based on hunter surveys of a Spanish game preserve is proposed. A Poisson model is fitted to estimate the relationship between hunting success and other independent variables. In order to find the most appropriate model, a model selection procedure based on repeated cross validation is used to determine which explanatory variables describe the hunting success better in terms of prediction ability. The estimatedmodel is successful in the case of the red legged partridge (Alectoris rufa). The model can be used for applying different management criteria in a game preserve. Some possibilities are demonstrated for particular scenarios.

【 授权许可】

CC BY