Analysis of the stochastic model for predicting the novel coronavirus disease

Advances in Difference Equations

Ndolane Sene¹ 

[1] Laboratoire Lmdan, Département de Mathématiques de la Décision, Faculté des Sciences Economiques et Gestion, Université Cheikh Anta Diop de Dakar, BP 5683, Dakar Fann, Senegal;

关键词: Stochastic numerical scheme;    Novel coronavirus;    Equilibrium points;   

DOI  :  10.1186/s13662-020-03025-w

来源: Springer

【 摘 要 】

In this paper, we propose a mathematical model to predict the novel coronavirus. Due to the rapid spread of the novel coronavirus disease in the world, we add to the deterministic model of the coronavirus the terms of the stochastic perturbations. In other words, we consider in this paper a stochastic model to predict the novel coronavirus. The equilibrium points of the deterministic model have been determined, and the reproduction number of our deterministic model has been implemented. The asymptotic behaviors of the solutions of the stochastic model around the equilibrium points have been studied. The numerical investigations and the graphical representations obtained with the novel stochastic model are made using the classical stochastic numerical scheme.

【 授权许可】

CC BY