Ensaio sobre a relação epistemológica entre probabilidade e método científico

Cadernos de Saúde Pública

Elvira Maria Godinho De Seixas Maciel²  Fernando Salgueiro Passos Telles¹ 

[1] ,Fundação Oswaldo Cruz Instituto Fernandes Figueira Rio de Janeiro RJ ,Brasil

关键词: Statistics;    Probability;    Decision Analysis;    Medicine;    Estatística;    Probabilidade;    Análise de Decisão;    Medicina;   

DOI  :  10.1590/S0102-311X2000000200019

来源: SciELO

【 摘 要 】

In the XIX century, regularities in statistics of events were perceived in Medicine and Human Sciences. These regularities raised the possibility of forecasting what considered to be impredictable, and so, probabilistics laws became an alternative to the strictly-causal laws. This work presents a brief historical review of probability calculus and its applications. Some philosophical thoughs, regarding the use of probabilistics models and decision analysis in Medicine, are also discussed.

【 授权许可】

CC BY   
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