The Long-Term Prospects of Biofuels in the EU-15 Countries

Energies

Amela Ajanovic¹  Gerfried Jungmeier²  Martin Beermann² 

[1] Energy Economics Group, Vienna University of Technology, Gusshausstrasse 25-29/370-3, Vienna 1040, Austria; E-Mail:;Joanneum Research, Elisabethstrasse 5, Graz 8010, Austria; E-Mails:

关键词: biofuels;    potentials;    economics;    CO₂ emissions;    EU-15;   

DOI  :  10.3390/en5083110

来源: mdpi

【 摘 要 】

The core objective of this paper is to analyze the energy and CO₂ reduction potentials as well as the market prospects of biofuels in EU-15 in a dynamic framework till 2050. The most important result of this analysis is that 2nd generation biofuels might become economically competitive between 2020 and 2030, yet this can only be achieved if the following preconditions are fulfilled: (1) achievement of significant learning effects leading to considerably lower plant costs; (2) significant improvement of conversion efficiency from feedstock to fuel leading to lower feedstock costs and better ecological performance; (3) increases in conventional diesel and gasoline prices, e.g., due to CO₂ based taxes.

【 授权许可】

CC BY   
© 2012 by the authors; licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.