期刊论文详细信息
Games
Unfazed by Both the Bull and Bear: Strategic Exploration in Dynamic Environments
Peter S. Riefer1  Bradley C. Love2  Andrew M. Colman2 
[1] Department of Experimental Psychology, University College London, 26 Bedford Way, London WC1H 0AP, UK; E-Mail
关键词: decision-making;    strategic choice;    exploration and exploitation;    dynamic environments;    global trends;   
DOI  :  10.3390/g6030251
来源: mdpi
PDF
【 摘 要 】

People in a changing environment must decide between exploiting options they currently favor and exploring alternative options that provide additional information about the state of the environment. For example, drivers must decide between purchasing gas at their currently favored station (i.e., exploit) or risk a fruitless trip to another station to evaluate whether the price has been lowered since the last visit. Previous laboratory studies on exploratory choice have found that people choose strategically and explore alternative options when it is more likely that the relative value of competing options has changed. Our study extends this work by considering how global trends (which affect all options equally) influence exploratory choice. For example, during an economic crisis, global gas prices may increase or decrease at all stations, yet consumers should still explore strategically to find the best option. Our research question is whether people can maintain effective exploration strategies in the presence of global trends that are irrelevant in that they do not affect the relative value of choice options. We find that people explore effectively irrespective of global trends.

【 授权许可】

CC BY   
© 2015 by the authors; licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.

【 预 览 】
附件列表
Files Size Format View
RO202003190007668ZK.pdf 1030KB PDF download
  文献评价指标  
  下载次数:4次 浏览次数:9次