Assessment of precipitation climatology in an ensemble of CORDEX-East Asia regional climate simulations

Climate Research

Stefan Polanski¹  Ulrich Cubasch¹  Bo Huang¹ 

关键词: CORDEX-East Asia;    Regional climate model;    Ensemble simulations;    Precipitation climatology;    Monsoon characteristics;   

DOI  :  10.3354/cr01302

来源: Inter-Research Science Publishing

【 摘 要 】

ABSTRACT: An ensemble of regional climate simulations from the Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment in East Asia (CORDEX-East Asia) was analysed to evaluate the ability of 5 regional climate models (RCMs) and their ensemble mean in reproducing the key features of present-day precipitation (1989-2008). We emphasised (1) an extreme rainfall event, (2) seasonal climatology, (3) annual cycles and inter-annual variability and (4) the monsoon characteristics. We highlighted 4 sub-monsoon regions, viz. South Asian Summer Monsoon (SAS), the East Asian Summer Monsoon (EAS), the Western North Pacific Tropical Monsoon (WNP) and the Australian-Maritime Continent Monsoon (AUSMC). We found that the RCMs showed a reasonable performance to capture the extreme rainfall event in 1998. The RCMs simulated the seasonal mean, annual cycle and inter-annual variability acceptably. However, individual models exhibited significant biases in some sub-regions and seasons. Moreover, most of the RCMs significantly improved their performance in capturing precipitation climatology and monsoon characteristics over the Korean Peninsula, the Korea Strait and southern Japan. Based upon this performance study, we conclude that the present set of RCMs from CORDEX can be used to provide useful information on climate projections over East Asia.

【 授权许可】

Unknown