Forecast of climate-induced change in macrozoobenthos in the southern North Seain spring

Climate Research

Ingrid Kröncke¹  Joachim W. Dippner¹ 

关键词: Climate variability;    Macrozoobenthos;    Forecast;    North Sea;    Multivariate statistics;   

DOI  :  10.3354/cr025179

来源: Inter-Research Science Publishing

【 摘 要 】

ABSTRACT: A multivariate regression model using observed climate data is used to forecast the climate-induced changes in macrozoobenthos in spring. This is demonstrated by a forecast over 6 yr of biomass, abundance and species number of macrozoobenthoscommunities in the southern North Sea. The partial linearity between climate and benthic variables, as well as the existence of a phase lag between climate variability during winter time and the response in macrozoobenthos in spring, makes theclimate-induced variability in macrozoobenthos predictable. The results indicate that a major part of interannual and interdecadal variability of marine ecosystem, here demonstrated for macrozoobenthos, can be attributed to the physical forcing of winterclimate.

【 授权许可】

Unknown