ON THE GENERIC UTILIZATION OF PROBABILISTIC METHODS FOR QUANTIFICATION OF UNCERTAINTY IN PROCESS-BASED MORPHODYNAMIC MODEL APPLICATIONS

Proceedings of the International Conference on Coastal Engineering

Roshanka Ranasinghe¹  Rob Brinkman²  Arjen P. Luijendijk³  Wiebe P. de Boer²  Freek Scheel² 

[1] Unesco IHE;Deltares;DeltaresDelft University of Technology

关键词: morphodynamics;    process-based morphodynamic models;    uncertainties;    probabilistics;    uncertainty quantification;    probabilistic-morphodynamic modelling framework;    Unibest CL+;    Holland coast;   

DOI  :  10.9753/icce.v34.sediment.88

学科分类：建筑学

来源: Coastal Engineering Research Council

【 摘 要 】

A variety of uncertainty sourcesare inherentinprocess-based morphodynamic modellingapplications.There is anincreasing demand for the quantification of these uncertainties.This contributionintroducesa probabilistic-morphodynamic(PM)modelling frameworkthat enables thisquantification. The PM modelling framework providesa systematicapproach,while alsoloweringthe required effortforinclusion ofuncertainty quantificationinmorphodynamic model studies. Applicability and added value is shown using a pilot application to the Holland coast.

【 授权许可】

Unknown