ADAPTING COASTS TO CLIMATIC FUTURES. AN AUSTRALIAN PERSPECTIVE

Proceedings of the International Conference on Coastal Engineering

Anne Roiko¹  Darryl Low Choy⁴  Florence Crick⁴  Russell Richards⁴  Timothy F Smith¹  Scott Baum⁴  RW Bill Carter¹  Marcello Sano⁴  Aliasghar Golshani²  Marcus Bussey¹  Silvia Serrao-Neumann⁴  Rodger Tomlinson⁴  Kristen Splinter³ 

[1] University of the Sunshine Coast;University of Queensland;University of New South Wales;Griffith University

关键词: vulnerability;    systems thinking;    scenario planning;    adaptation options;    coastal hazards;    climate change;   

DOI  :  10.9753/icce.v33.management.21

学科分类：建筑学

来源: Coastal Engineering Research Council

【 摘 要 】

In coastal management under climatic pressures, the final aim of vulnerability assessments, system thinking or scenario planning exercises is to inform the identification of the most appropriate adaptation options for communities under risk of coastal hazards and climate change. In this paper we show how we combined these techniques for coastal settlements adaptation in South East Queensland, one of the most populated Australian regions, including: (i) the use of suburb-level mapping and numerical modelling to identify and assess vulnerability hotspots (ii) the development and testing of systems thinking and bayesian modelling techniques to explore adaptation pathways and the adaptive capacity of coastal communities and (iii) the use of scenario planning techniques to test adaptation options in an uncertain future. We show how these outcomes were used to develop a range of research-based adaptation policies, programs and actions and to inform the preparation of practical guidance for councils across Queensland.

【 授权许可】

Unknown