TREND MODEL OF SEA EXTREMES

Proceedings of the International Conference on Coastal Engineering

Toshikazu Kitano¹  Wataru Kioka¹  Rinya Takahashi² 

[1] Nagoya Institution of Technology;Kobe University

关键词: Gumbel distribution;    return period;    confidence interval;    degree of experience;   

DOI  :  10.9753/icce.v32.management.3

学科分类：建筑学

来源: Coastal Engineering Research Council

【 摘 要 】

The confidence interval for return level is re-examined. A definitively new method is proposed by employing an implicit link function, a plug-in estimation and a gamma distribution with the shape parameter given by the degree of experience. It is applied to a trend model of sea extremes, and it should be a very notable finding that the passing of time enlarges the range of confidence interval even for the stationary model.

【 授权许可】

Unknown